Tuesday, January 04, 2011

Oil prices at the start of 2011 are at 26 month highs - why that's a very bad sign

, On Monday January 3, 2011, 5:11 pm
Oil prices rose past $92 a barrel on Monday to a 26-month high, as the new year began with the prospect of still higher energy prices to come.

Benchmark oil for February delivery rose as high as $92.66 a barrel, $1.28 above Friday's settlement price, in trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It gave up most of those gains to settle 17 cents higher at $91.55 on Monday. The last time oil settled above $92 a barrel was on Oct. 3, 2008, when it reached $93.88.

At the pump, the national average for regular gasoline was $3.07 a gallon on Monday, according to the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration. That's about 41 cents higher than a year ago.
Drivers in Los Angeles, Chicago and New York pay some of the highest prices in the country, ranging from $3.33 to $3.16 a gallon. The cheapest gas in major cities is found in Denver ($2.81), Houston ($2.88) and Boston ($3.01).

Oil has been gaining ground on speculation that the global economy will continue to grow in 2011. Many analysts expect the price for oil to reach at least $100 a barrel this year, which will mean higher prices not only for gasoline, but for diesel and heating oil as well.

A $10-per-barrel increase in the price of oil will cost consumers an additional $200 million a day for all energy products, Cameron Hanover energy analyst Peter Beutel said. That means less money to spend on other things, like clothes and electronics.

Analysts think there may not be much to keep oil prices from moving higher after a strong finish in 2010. "The biggest problem with 2011 is that there are very few easily identifiable reasons why oil prices might move lower for any extended period -- other than a renewed recession," Cameron Hanover said in a research report. Most economists don't think that's likely.
Positive economic data and surging stock markets pushed oil and gas prices higher on Monday.

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