Thursday, December 18, 2008

2008 was well above average for a Hurricane Season - 2009 predicted to be similar

Klotzbach said the new forecast is based on factors including warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures and the likely absence of El Nino conditions.

El Nino is a warming in the Pacific Ocean that can have such far-reaching effects as changing wind patterns in the eastern Atlantic, which can disrupt the formation of hurricanes.

NVDL: The absence of El Nino therefore favours major storms.
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The 50-year average is 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 major hurricanes.

The season produced 16 named storms, eight hurricanes, with five major.
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